US markets gained marginally to remain within point blank range of the all-time highs. S&P remained largely unchanged and Nasdaq gained 0.3%. Consumer Discretionary and Energy sectors led the gains, up 1% and 0.9% respectively. The US Commerce Department data revealed that the US trade deficit narrowed for the first time in April 2021. US 10Y Treasury yields dipped by 3bp to 1.53%, their lowest in the month. The global economy is expected to expand 5.6% in 2021, the strongest in 80 years, according to the World Bank. European markets had a mixed day with DAX lower by 0.2% while FTSE and CAC were higher by 0.3% and 0.1% respectively. US IG spreads were largely flat and HY CDS tightened 0.3bp. EU main and crossover CDS also tightened marginally by 0.2bp and 1.2bp respectively. China’s producer inflation data for May came in higher than expected at 9% vs. expectations of 8.5% while CPI rose 1.3% vs. expectations of 1.6%. Asian markets have a mixed opening. Nikkei was down 0.3% while Shanghai and HSI were up 0.4% and 0.1%. Asia ex-Japan CDS spreads tightened 0.3bp.
New Bond Issues
- Aramco debut $ 3Y/5Y/10Y Sukuk IPTs T+105bp/T+125bp/T+160bp areas
- Agricultural Bank of China HK branch $ 3Y/5Y IPG T+85bp/T+95bp areas
- Fraser and Neave S$ 5Y at guidance of 2%
- Lifestyle International $ 5Y IPG 5.2% area
Kaisa Group raised $280mn via a tap of their 9.75% 2023s bond at a yield of 8.9%, 30bp inside initial guidance of 9.2% area. The bonds have expected ratings of B2/B and received orders over $1.4bn, 5x issue size. The tapped bonds were priced roughly in-line with their initial 2023s that currently yield 8.96% in secondary markets. Proceeds will be used to refinance debt maturing within a year.
China Everbright Bank HK branch raised $600mn via a 3Y bond at a yield of 0.839% or T+53bp, 37bp inside initial guidance of T+90bp area. The bonds are rated BBB+/BBB, and received orders of over $3.45bn, 5.7x the issue size and will be issued off a $5bn medium-term note (MTN) programme. The Proceeds will be used for general funding purposes. The bonds were priced in-line with their 0.929% bonds due March 2024 yielding 0.82%.
Pacific Century Premium Developments (PCPD) raised $700mn via a 5Y non-call 3Y (5NC3) bond at a yield of 5.125%, 22.5bp inside initial guidance of 5.35% area. The bonds are unrated and received orders over $1.4bn, 2x issue size. Wholly owned subsidiary PCPD Capital is the issuer and Pacific Century Premium Developments is the guarantor. The bonds also have a non-binding letter of support provided by telecom company PCCW. There is a change of control put at 101 if PCCW, Richard Li and/or any affiliate collectively cease to hold at least 40% of the voting rights of the guarantor. Proceeds will be used to fund a tender offer ending June 16 for its $700mn 4.75% 2022s. It is offering to pay $1,018 per $1,000 in principal.
SMBC Aviation raised $500mn via a 7Y bond at a yield of 2.301% or T+110bp, 35bp inside initial guidance of T+145bp area. The bonds have an expected rating of A-/A-. Subsidiary SMBC Aviation Capital Finance DAC is the issuer and the bonds come with a guarantee from the parent. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group holds 66% beneficial ownership of SMBC Aviation. Proceeds of the issuance will be used for general corporate purposes, which could include aircraft purchases and repaying debt.
Shandong Commercial Group raised $180mn via a tap of their 7% 2023s at a yield of 7%. The bonds are unrated. Wholly owned subsidiary Fuyuan Worldwide is the issuer and Shandong Commercial Group is the guarantor. Proceeds will be used to refinance offshore debt as well as to develop retail and offshore businesses.
Emirates Development Bank (EDB) raised $750mn via a 5Y bond at a yield of 1.639%, or Mid-Swaps + 80bp, ~22.5bp inside initial guidance of MS+105/110bp area. The bonds were rated AA- and received orders over $3.4bn, 4.5x issue size.
Banco Sabadell raised €500mn via a 7Y non-call 6Y (7NC6) bond at a yield of 0.951%, ~27.5bp inside initial guidance of MS+140/145bp area. The bonds have expected ratings of BBB-/BBB- and received orders over €1.4bn, 2.8x issue size. The bonds are callable at par on June 16, 2027 and if not called, the coupon resets to the 1Y MS + initial margin of 115bp.
New Bond Pipeline
- BoCom Financial Leasing hires for US$ sustainability notes issue; calls today
- Ganzhou Jiankong Investment hires Guotai Junan Intl for $ credit-enhanced bonds
- Bayfront Infrastructure Capital II hires for $ multi-trancher backed by project finance portfolio
Rating Changes
- Fitch Upgrades JBS to ‘BBB-‘; Outlook Stable
- Moody’s downgrades HSBC Holdings’ senior unsecured debt rating to A3 from A2
- Moody’s changes Abercrombie & Fitch’s outlook to positive
- Fitch Revises Outlook on China Aoyuan to Negative; Affirms at ‘BB’
- Bahrain Mumtalakat Holding Co. Outlook Revised To Negative By S&P After Similar Action On Sovereign; ‘B+/B’ Ratings Affirmed
- Fitch Affirms and Withdraws Bank of Cyprus EMTN’s programme ratings
Term of the Day
Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA)
Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) is a component in a broader methodology used by rating agency Moody’s to assess banks. This is used to analyze a bank’s intrinsic or standalone strength, without external support. BCA has three components:
- Macro Profile: Assessing the banks operating environment with regard to economic strength, institutional strength, susceptibility to event risks
- Financial Profile: Analyzing predictive measures of solvency and liquidity, risk factors and risk mitigants
- Qualitative Factors: Adjusting the financial profile by incorporating factors like diversification, opacity and complexity, corporate behaviour
In its recent rating action, Moody’s downgraded HSBC’s BCA to a3 from a2 on account of challenges they will face in restoring profitability on a sustainable basis as compared to peers.
Talking Heads
Top Gainers & Losers – 9-Jun-21*
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